Abbas will go to UNSC, US will veto, Israel will pay

Yesterday, Mahmoud Abbas explained what he expects to get from the UN:

“We are going to the United Nations to request our legitimate right, obtaining full membership for Palestine in this organization,” Abbas said in a televised speech, indicating he would seek a vote on the issue in the UN Security Council…

“If we succeed, and this is what we are working towards, then we must know that the day following the recognition of the state, the occupation will not end,” Abbas said.

“But we will have obtained the world’s recognition that our state is occupied and that our land is occupied and not disputed territory, as the Israeli government claims,” he said.

He added that the move is not intended to isolate Israel or delegitimize its legal status. “Israel is there, no one can isolate or take away its legal status, but we need to isolate the policies of Israel. We need to put an end to the occupation and take away the legal status of the occupation.”

The PA president said that recognition of statehood with pre-1967 borders is necessary for renewed negotiations with Israel. “We need to have full [UN] membership within [pre-1967] borders in order to go to negotiations on a basis adopted by the world so that we may discuss the permanent issues of Jerusalem, borders, refugees – and our prisoners in Israeli prisons.”

For once, he’s telling the truth. Although they don’t like to admit it, and no matter how often their friends in the media say “settlements are illegal under international law,” the Palestinians realize that in fact the territories are at most ‘disputed’, and Jewish settlements east of the Green Line legal (see scholar Howard Grief’s arguments for Israel’s legal title to all of the area of the mandate here).

Abbas believes that a Security Council resolution that recognizes a state of ‘Palestine’ in the territories will overcome the precedents set by

the San Remo Resolution of April 25, 1920, the Mandate for Palestine conferred on Britain by the Principal Allied Powers and confirmed by the League of Nations on July 24, 1922, and the Franco-British Boundary Convention of December 23, 1920 [Grief]

as well as UNSC resolutions 242 and 338, which state that the disposition of the territories captured in 1967 shall be determined by the agreement of all of the parties (and not imposed by the UN), and of course the Oslo accords which reaffirmed that principle.

All of this, he hopes, will disappear. But statehood will not confer any responsibilities on the Palestinians, such as to feed their own people or resettle any of the Arab refugees (except in Israel).

A PLO official remarked that statehood would not affect the right of refugees to return to their ‘original homes’ in Israel. Indeed, it will not affect the status of any Palestinian ‘refugees’, not even the ones within the PA.  They will remain in refugee camps, supported by the UN (mainly with US money) until they can be mobilized to overrun Israel and turn it into West Palestine!

The arrogance is remarkable, considering that the Palestinians have no economy, have created no real institutions, do not have a unified leadership, and have proudly announced that they plan to create an apartheid state which will engage in ethnic cleansing of its Jewish inhabitants. But none of this seems to matter.

The PA — and this doesn’t include payments to the UN refugee organization, UNRWA — receives half  a billion dollars a year of US taxpayer funds, plus millions more from the EU. US instructors train its army, which is armed with US weapons. Much of the money is paid to PA officials in Gaza, which is under Hamas control. Without this international dole, there would be no PA.

They are asking the UN for statehood while Hamas — an explicitly racist group which espouses genocide against the Jewish population of Israel, which is holding a kidnapped Israeli incommunicado in violation of international law, and which continues to fire rockets at random against a civilian population (a war crime) — is officially part of the PA.

All of this is justified by an invented, inverted historical narrative, and — in the case of Hamas — a radical Islamist ideology.

The only thing preventing the passage of such a resolution is a threatened US veto. Abbas claims that a veto would “destroy the two-state solution.” In Abbas-speak, a “two-state solution” does not mean a Palestinian state alongside a Jewish one. It means that there will be a Palestinian state where Jews are forbidden to live, and an ‘Israel’ where 4.5 million Arab ‘refugees’ will have the right to join the existing Arab minority to create another Arab state. So according to this definition, he is correct.

Direct negotiations with Israel could have given the Palestinians a state in the territories with generous borders and serious concessions on Jerusalem. But it could not, ever, give them a right of return for refugees because no imaginable Israeli government would commit suicide.

It’s also the case that any bilateral agreement would have to include recognition of Israel as the state of the Jewish people, and a statement that the Palestinians have no further claims, territorial or otherwise, against Israel.  These conditions would not be acceptable to the Arabs for obvious reasons. It is not “Israeli intransigence” or construction within settlements that has prevented a bilateral agreement. It is simply that Israel won’t negotiate itself out of existence.

The Obama Administration has promised to veto the Palestinian proposal in the Security Council. Most analysts believe that it will do so. Polls show that most Americans support Israel. It is already becoming a partisan issue, with Republicans increasingly staking out pro-Israel positions. Can you imagine what would happen if Obama became the first president in history to permit an anti-Israel resolution to pass in the Security Council?

But in my opinion, the President and his advisers are a slim reed to lean on. And supposing that there is a veto, what will Israel have to pay to get it?

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2 Responses to “Abbas will go to UNSC, US will veto, Israel will pay”

  1. Shalom Freedman says:

    I think the most telling item in this article and one which should if possible be repeated everywhere is the Abbas definition of a ‘
    two state solution’. On one side a Judenrein Palestinian Arab state and on the other a Jewish state flooded with descendants of Arab refugees who make it another Arab state.
    i.e. his idea of a two- state solution is two Arab states instead of a Jewish one.
    Thank you sir , we will pass on this one.

  2. Robman says:

    In this case, I beg to differ, Vic.

    It is crunch time.

    I saw that Obama was meeting with Bibi prior to the vote. I’m sure that’s so Obama could lay down his diktat to Bibi, his terms for what he expects Bibi to concede on in order to get that veto. I’ll bet anything those terms are full acceptance of the terms laid out in the May 19 speech, tabling the recognition issue, and a settlement freeze.

    I think – I’m not 100% sure, more like 60% sure – that Bibi will tell Obama to go fly a kite.

    And, I’m sure Obama has already fixed things behind the scenes so that no one else is going to veto. Israel will have no one else to turn to.

    So, my tentative prediction is this: NO U.S. veto. The damned thing will pass.

    And, Obama will blame Bibi’s “intransigence”. He’ll say afterwards:

    “I tried to help him. I wasn’t going to support the PA, but Bibi wouldn’t compromise, he wouldn’t budge, and he obviously doesn’t really want peace. Now, my action should not be interpreted as being against the Israeli people – it is really for their own good. But this Bibi, he stands in the way of peace. And I just can’t let him go on doing that without cost.”

    And Intifada Three will break out. And the IDF will crush them. And quite possibly, Turkey will try to intervene militarily, and this will be a huge crisis.

    Thanks, Obama.

    I expect the IDF to bludgeon her enemies, but there will be serious losses, especially civilians.

    I also expect the UN to impose sanctions/embargoes on Israel, to treat her like a rogue state. It’s going to be a very tough year and a half till Obama’s replacement takes over, but I expect that Israel will weather all of this.

    I think Obama may already realize that he’s a one-term president. He’s at the critical phase of his only purpose for being president, the only reason he was installed, the obvious reason why such an utter incompetent could ever be passed off onto the American people by various corrupt powers that be as being “qualified” for the highest office in the land.

    This only purpose being: wreck the U.S.-Israeli relationship, and usher in a period in which Israel is subjected to an attempt at political/economic strangulation at the hands of the so-called “world community”, as represented by the petrodollar whores of the UN.

    Sound crazy? People, have you all noticed just how focused, like a laser-beam, to the exclusion of all else, Obama is on Israel, and not in a nice way? Have you noticed that in concrete policy terms he’ll compromise on ANYTHING ELSE – health care, taxes, you name it – but the ONE set of policies on which he does not budge ONE MILLIMETER is with respect to his obvious obsession with Israel??

    This will all blow up in Obama’s – and the Arabs/Moslems – face.

    Just like in 1967.

    It is June 1, 1967, all over again, right now.

    G-dspeed to all of you, all of you, in Israel, and her supporters everywhere. That’s all I have left to say.