Archive for the ‘General’ Category

An instructive juxtaposition

Saturday, May 5th, 2007

Here is an instructive juxtaposition. First, one aspect of the new US ‘timetable’ for Israeli-Palestinian quiet:

The document demands, among other things, that Israel approve and support in an “immediate and ongoing” manner the requests of U.S. security coordinator Dayton for the provision of required armaments, ammunition and equipment for security forces under the control of and reporting to the PA chairman [Mahmoud Abbas of the Fatah faction] in the West Bank and Gaza. — Ha’aretz

Next, a statement from the selfsame Fatah mentioned above:

Fatah’s al-Aqsa Martyrs Brigades, threatened on Thursday to carry out resistance attacks outside the Gaza Strip and the West Bank, unless the internationally-imposed economic embargo is lifted.

In a statement sent to reporters, the brigades held the Israeli occupation and the United States responsible for the financial and political boycott of the Hamas-led coalition government.

“We will not simply keep idle toward those who are imposing the siege”, the statement reads…

Fatah, of President Mahmoud Abbas, jointly with Hamas and other Palestinian parties, make up the current coalition on basis of respect of signed peace agreements and commitment to resisting the Israeli occupation. — IMEMC

Why does the US consider it wise to provide “armaments, ammunition, and equipment” to these terrorists, who appear to be directly threatening both Israel and US interests?

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Gaza, a laboratory for chaos

Friday, May 4th, 2007

Gaza anarchy and chaos:

For several weeks now the Gaza Strip has been burning. This is not a matter of fighting between Hamas and Fatah activists or actions by the Israel Defense Forces, but battles between armed groups that for the most part are identified with large clans. Nearly every day for the past two weeks, men, women and children have been killed in Gaza. Every day civilians are being wounded by deliberate or stray gunfire, the result of the unrestrained use of weapons. The number of armed men in the Gaza Strip, according to various estimates, is greater than 100,000. These men belong to security mechanisms, political organizations and above all to clans… — Avi Isacharoff, Ha’aretz

We can learn something from this, and we should, because similar situations abound throughout the world and are growing more common.

One problem is the sheer firepower of modern weapons. One man with an assault rifle and large-capacity magazines can stand off a whole platoon of rivals, unless of course all of them have similar weapons…so they get them. When a firefight breaks out, it can turn into general carnage.

Another problem is the so-called “youth bulge“. Consider the combination of bravado, bad judgment, and energy that characterizes the average teenager. About half of the population of Gaza is now under the age of 15; there is a huge number of males in the 15-29 range. Now give each of them enormous firepower. Any questions?

There is very little productive economic activity in Gaza itself. How many Gazans can find employment making Qassam missiles? Terrorists systematically attacked the crossing points into Israel and initiatives like the Erez industrial zone which were supposed to provide work for Gaza residents. Many young men have literally nothing to do all day except shoot. One source of income is connection to one of the militias, which skim money from the international and UN aid that pours into Gaza.

There’s no functioning government. The ‘political’ militias, Fatah and Hamas, are no stronger than the clans. They are no match, for example, for whoever is holding kidnapped BBC reporter Alan Johnston.

What would it take to turn such chaos into a functioning society? Possibly a brutal totalitarian dictatorship like Saddam Hussein’s was could damp down the violence and disarm most of the young men, but the process would be bloody and might not succeed. I can’t imagine moving from today’s chaos directly to any kind of democracy, or even mildly enlightened dictatorship. The prospects for Gaza are bleak indeed.

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Israel to government: you failed, resign!

Friday, May 4th, 2007

David Horovitz has written an absolutely chilling discussion of the Winograd report.

The total failure of the army is documented:

Since its soldiers [on the Lebanese border] weren’t being allowed to fire back, and their deterrent capability was necessarily disappearing, the IDF protected them by pulling away physically from the commanding position it had been expected to maintain at the border after May 2000’s unilateral withdrawal. It tried to protect its silenced soldiers, relocating their bases and lookout points to less exposed positions even as Hizbullah dug in at the fence.

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The Lebanon war’s greatest failure

Thursday, May 3rd, 2007

By Vic Rosenthal 

Israel is not the US. Everything in Israel happens faster, time is compressed, everything is more intense. In the early 1980’s when the VCR came to Israel, everybody bought one in the first two weeks. There’s a story (possibly apocryphal) that somebody inspecting a ship bound for Israel could not believe its manifest, which stated that the cargo was made up entirely of VCR’s. How could such a small nation need that many VCR’s?

An Israeli acquaintance emailed on Tuesday that everyone in the country was consumed by the Winograd ‘earthquake’. Politics, like everything else in the country is speeded up and amplified, so this isn’t surprising, despite the fact that the contents of the report weren’t unexpected. But I’m not sure that the objective failures described in the report were the most serious problems that the war uncovered.

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This is what ‘engagement’ looks like

Wednesday, May 2nd, 2007

I guess this is what they mean when they say “the US should ‘engage’ in the Israeli-Arab conflict”:

JERUSALEM (Reuters) – The Bush administration has drawn up an eight-month timetable setting dates for when Israeli and Palestinian leaders would complete steps meant to bolster prospects for peace talks, U.S., Israeli and Palestinian officials said.

The U.S. timeline, the first of its kind presented to both sides, includes specific dates for when Washington envisages Israel letting Palestinian bus and truck convoys travel between the Gaza Strip and the occupied West Bank, a demand that has raised some Israeli objections.

Washington, at the same time, has set dates for when Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas of Fatah would step up deployment of his forces and take specific measures to begin curbing rocket fire by militants.

What’s wrong with this plan:

  • Israel is required to take concrete steps which compromise security, while the Palestinians are required to deploy their “security forces”, many of whom are terrorists, and “take measures to begin” stopping terrorism.
  • The Bush administration has two very unequal partners. One is the Israeli government, which can control the actions of its army and permit or not permit Palestinian convoys to pass. The other is Mahmoud Abbas, who has little or no control over the actions of the Palestinians except for the members of his US-financed personal militia. The Palestinian ‘government’, such as it is, is in the hands of Hamas.

As with countless similar arrangements, here is what will happen: Unless Israel can wriggle out of it, she will be forced to allow the Palestinian convoys through — which might contain, for example, anti-aircraft weapons to be fired at Ben-Gurion Airport from the West Bank.

Abbas, on the other hand, try as he might, will not be able to control the ‘militants’, who — despite the arming and deployment of his militia — will somehow manage to perpetrate murderous acts against Israelis. But it won’t be his fault.

How is it legitimate for the Palestinians to demand something in return for…stopping terrorism?

Suppose I commit a series of bank robberies and am arrested by the police. Can I say “OK, I’ll agree to stop robbing banks, but only on these conditions…”? Of course not, bank robbery isn’t allowed in a civilized world.

The terrorism has to stop first. Period. Then we’ll talk.

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