Archive for February, 2007

Palestinians sign unity deal…so what?

Thursday, February 8th, 2007

Ha’aretz reports that Hamas and Fatah have signed a deal for a unity government. Hamas has agreed to ‘respect’ previous PA agreements with Israel; as we’ve discussed before, this is a compromise formulation that does not mean the same thing as ‘accepting’ them. Hamas also stated that the agreement follows the principles of the “prisoners’ document” and does not imply recognition of Israel. There is no mention in the article of a renunciation of terrorism against Israel (the prisoners’ document does call for a renunciation of violence between Palestinians).

If the agreement is as described the Ha’aretz article, this will not be adequate to meet international requirements to restart the flow of money to the Palestinian Authority — unless it’s decided to pretend that it is.

Update [8 Feb 2202 PST]: The Jerusalem Post reports that Saudi Arabia has promised $1 billion (that’s with a ‘b’) in aid to the unified PA.

The two parties also agreed that the political platform of the unity government would not require Hamas to abide by previous agreements signed between the PLO and Israel, one of the three conditions the Quartet had set for granting the Hamas government legitimacy.

Instead, the unity government has been asked to “honor” the agreements with Israel, as well as resolutions of the United Nations and Arab summits pertaining to the Israeli-Arab conflict.

Moreover, the Fatah-Hamas agreement does not require the unity government to explicitly recognize Israel’s right to exist or Hamas to renounce violence, which was another of the Quartet’s requirements.

So it is more or less what we expected. The Saudi financing means that there is no need for the PA to make concessions to the quartet, reducing US leverage. It also seems to mean that the Palestinian movement will be taking orders from Riyadh rather than Teheran. And finally, it’s highly unlikely that this will provide a framework for a peace deal with Israel.

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What’s behind the Temple Mount protests

Wednesday, February 7th, 2007

Ha’aretz reports today that Minister of Defense Peretz has asked the PM to stop the work on the approach to the Mughrabi gate “for fear of escalation and deterioration in the defense situation.” Mention is made of the importance of avoiding problems at this critical time when the Palestinians are meeting in Mecca (!) and Condoleeza Rice is about to come to the region for a summit.

There have been protests all over the Arab and Muslim world including Syria, Jordan, Iran, etc.

Obviously it’s not difficult to convince Muslims that Israel is trying to destroy the Al-Aqsa mosque, regardless of the facts. The question is, why?

The answer is simple. To make the point that Israel is not sovereign in Jerusalem. If the Arabs can dictate what Israel can and cannot do near the Temple Mount, then they are the true rulers, not Israel. I am expecting that the government of Israel will agree with them. We’ll see.

Update [8 Feb 1501 PST]: A good picture and more explanation here on Israpundit.

The Palestinian mass psychosis

Wednesday, February 7th, 2007

By Vic Rosenthal

Khaled Meshaal, in Mecca (Jerusalem Post):

“I want to assure our brothers and people that we will not leave this place without agreement,” he said. “After we reach an agreement, the international community will be obliged to respect it and lift the sanctions imposed on our people.”

The world should make it clear to him that we don’t really care a fig about whether Hamas and Fatah can arrive at a mutual agreement about portfolios in the Palestinian Cabinet.

We should insist that the PA will have no money and no legitimacy until it renounces (and actually stops) terrorism, sincerely recognizes Israel’s right to exist, and accepts the Oslo agreements. And while they’re at it, they can actually abide by the agreements which require them to stop anti-Israel incitement.

Meshaal added that an agreement was needed to “face the challenges facing the Palestinians, first and foremost ridding the Palestinians of the occupation, restoring our rights and guaranteeing the right of return for the refugees to their homes.”

No, these are not the first challenges facing them. These are the rewards that they may get — at least the first two — if they can overcome the challenge of changing their society from a collection of murderous barbarian gangs to one that adheres to the rudimentary principles of civilized life.

Unfortunately they are in the grip of a mass psychological disorder, induced by the absorption of decades and decades of lies and hate from the like of Haj Amin al-Husseini, Yasser Arafat, etc. They have been rendered crazy by millions of dollars worth of media, conditioning, and propaganda orchestrated from Nasser’s Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Syria, and lately Iran. They have been turned into shells of humanity surrounding a core of hot anger and obsession to get revenge and redress for the crimes that they believe have been perpetrated against them. They have been rendered unable to see that they themselves are actors on the stage, not just passive victims, and that their own actions have consequences and can be moral or immoral.

Yes, Israel has denied Palestinian human rights, made their lives hard, built settlements on land that by justice should be theirs. But the Palestinians can’t see that because of their own murderous actions, from the 1920’s to last Monday in Eilat, they bear some — quite a lot — of the responsibility for what has happened to them.

Personally, I don’t see that there’s any hope for a peaceful and just settlement, because I have not heard any Palestinian say anything other than “you did this to us, you must pay”. I have not heard any Palestinian say “we should not randomly murder your citizens, because it’s wrong”; the closest thing has been “it’s bad for our cause”. I think Israel can change their behavior in a moral direction because Israelis still have a conscience; I don’t think the Palestinians do.

I’ve known some unfortunate people with severe depression. The more depressed they get, the more their window on the world narrows; the less they are able to empathize with others, the less they are able to know or care how their own actions affect others. They focus on the pain within and everything else is shut out.

Every negotiation, every peace plan will fail unless the Palestinian leadership (which I think is more or less a fair representation of the people) becomes totally other from what it is today. It’s not going to happen.

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Bad battle doctrine, or organizational dysfunction?

Wednesday, February 7th, 2007

By Vic Rosenthal

Leslie Susser, in a JTA piece, presented what is coming to be the conventional wisdom about the IDF’s poor performance in the recent Lebanon war: it was caused by an attempt to implement an inappropriate battle doctrine, championed by former Chief of Staff Dan Halutz:

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More about the ‘Independent Jewish Voices’

Wednesday, February 7th, 2007

Recently I wrote about a manifesto coming from a newly formed group of anti-Israel British Jews called “Independent Jewish Voices”. Here’s another discussion of the same subject by Dr. Jonathan Spyer, who quite convincingly demolishes the view that opponents of Israel, Jewish or otherwise, are prevented from speaking their minds.